Bhubaneswar: Ek Sooch – an evolving consulting & research organisation assessed the mood of the voter across Odisha during the 2019 General and Assembly Elections. The ek Sooch team embarked on a road journey to cover all 21 Lok Sabha and 110 Vidhan Sabha constituencies in Odisha.
It took 26 days of travel and 6026 kms on road to complete this path breaking journey to understand the voters across a diverse state like Odisha. This journey by road gave very interesting feedbacks, insights and trends.
Founder member and team lead Asutosh Swain says – It was an exhilarating experience travelling the length and breadth of the state and interacting with people on election issues and assessing the mood of the voter. I did feel that the results will be very difficult to predict and no doubt Odisha is on the national radar this time.
While interacting with people, Ek Sooch collected data and was able to come out with the following:
| SURVEY REPORT | |
| % of respondents voting for Modi | 51% |
| % of respondents voting for Naveen | 40% |
| % of respondents opting for Congress/Others | 9% |
| % opting for Modi at Center and Naveen at State | 48% |
The MOOD of the state :
- Modi for 2nd term
- Naveen at the state but for last time
- Undercurrent for change
|
Trends: Ø Split voting in the state Ø Very tight bipolar and triangular contest across state Ø Naveen factor on downward trend Ø Rise of saffron –Modi factor Ø Congress vote base eroding Ø BJD banking on Beneficiaries vote Ø Young voters for change |
| Key factors deciding winnability
Ø Naveen and Modi factor Ø Anti incumbency Ø Candidates switching parties Ø Dynasty kin siblings issue Ø Kalia scheme has hurt many Ø Local factors and candidates selection Ø Corruption and neptotism |
| SEAT PREDICTION 2019 | ||
| LOK SABHA | VIDHAN SABHA | |
| BJD | 8 <> 10 | 78 <> 95 |
| BJP | 9 <> 12 | 38 <> 52 |
| INC | 1 <> 2 | 11 <> 14 |
| Others | 0 | 1 <> 2 |
Ek SOOCH think tank has predicted the 2019 Odisha Lok Sabha and Vidhan Sabha on the basis of primary and secondary data.
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