Backing a horse with good money in a race can yield excellent returns. Well, that’s if all goes well. On the flip side, it can be altogether frustrating and disappointing because there are no guarantees in the sports betting world. Nevertheless, it is possible to significantly tilt the sports betting odds in your favour with the right information. Because each race is unique, it can be tasking if you are new to horse racing analysis. Nevertheless, it isn’t rocket science. In that vein, let’s run through a few tips on how to spot a winner at the tracks.
- Number of days since the previous race
It is not a wise move to place your bet on a horse that has not recovered from the track’s rigours. Generally, a well-rested horse has a high chance of performing well, which translates to better returns on your sports betting. Also, you’ll do well to avoid an over-rested horse. So horse racing tipping will suggest that you don’t bet on one that has spent too much time in the stables. An over-rested horse ideally needs a couple of races to attain the optimum level of fitness.
The key is to strike a balance. If you want to go by numbers, 30-60 days is okay for some time-off. You can take it a bit further by looking at their number of races within two years. E.g., if you go for a rest period of 45-50 days,14-15 races should be ideal for a winner.
- Previous distance & track-type win
Another way to predict a winner is to look out for previous victories within a similar distance. If a horse has not recorded any victories with the current race-length, it might not be a good idea to back it. Also, horses sometimes show varying levels of performance on different tracks. There are various track surfaces, but the most common are dirt and turf. A horse that shines on turf may not do the same on dirt. You’ll do well to place your money when the horse is in its zone.
- Record on track
This information is one of the most vital and easy to understand. But we’ll still break it down; a track record refers to the horse’s previous finishing positions. A horse with a history of consistently finishing first, second, or third place most will likely deliver. So, place your bet on one with an excellent history on the tracks.
- Official rating
Okay, so this information is based on expert input. The higher number in this case, the higher the rank. This info is crucial if you are putting money on a race that enforces a “handicap.” Handicap enforcement is used to create equality by giving each horse equal chances of winning. Usually, a handicapper assigns a weight to a horse based on its official rating. E.g., a horse with a rating value of 140 carries a total weight of 140 pounds, including saddle, jockey, and iron. Nevertheless, note that weight is a double-edged sword. While it’s a good horse indicator, too much weight can also mean relatively less speed.
- Jockey and trainer
Horse racing is a sport that displays the synergy between man and beast. While you are researching the horse’s record, be sure to check out the jockey and trainer. Some jockeys have a fantastic record of wins. This information shouldn’t necessarily be a top-of-the-list thing to consider. However, if there’s a tie when comparing two or three horses, using the jockey or trainer’s info to make a final decision isn’t unheard of.